Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.