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Friday, April 26
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LT
Championship | Gameweek 20
Nov 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road
CC

Luton
1 - 2
Cardiff

Clark (64')
Rea (42')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Cardiff City

Both Luton and Cardiff head into this contest after failing to score in midweek, however we can see the two sides finding the net on Saturday. The Hatters have struggled in recent seasons against the Bluebirds, but having impressed more so than their Welsh counterparts in the Championship so far this season, they should be strong enough to claim at least a point on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
38.81%28.14%33.06%
Both teams to score 47.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.02%58.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.55%79.45%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48%29.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47%65.53%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83%33.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22%69.78%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 38.8%
    Cardiff City 33.05%
    Draw 28.13%
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-1 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 7.29%
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 1.81%
4-1 @ 1%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 38.8%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 9.79%
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 10.8%
1-2 @ 7.27%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.05%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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