SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
65.28% ( -0.07) | 19.3% ( 0.05) | 15.42% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.97% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.09% ( -0.18) | 38.91% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.77% ( -0.18) | 61.22% ( 0.18) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.82% ( -0.07) | 11.17% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.34% ( -0.15) | 35.66% ( 0.15) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.89% ( -0.08) | 38.11% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.13% ( -0.08) | 74.87% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 2-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 7.47% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.23% Total : 65.27% | 1-1 @ 9% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.3% | 1-2 @ 4.34% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 15.42% |
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