SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.72%) and 1-3 (5.52%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Sunderland |
32.88% ( -0.03) | 22.03% ( 0) | 45.09% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 67.93% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.99% ( -0.04) | 32.01% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.42% ( -0.04) | 53.57% ( 0.04) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.86% ( -0.03) | 20.14% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.59% ( -0.05) | 52.41% ( 0.05) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.06% ( -0.01) | 14.94% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.66% ( -0.01) | 43.33% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Sunderland |
| 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.82% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.88% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.98% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.36% ( -0)Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.52% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.43% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.63% 2-4 @ 2.1% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)1-5 @ 1% Other @ 3.34% Total : 45.09% |
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