Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
