Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Queens Park Rangers	Draw	Luton Town
40.41%	26.34%	33.25%

Both teams to score 52.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48%

52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.26%

73.73%

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.67%

25.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.89%

60.11%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.49%

29.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.48%

65.52%

Score Analysis

Queens Park Rangers 40.41%

Luton Town 33.25%

Draw 26.33%

Queens Park Rangers	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.41%	1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33%	0-1 @ 9.12% 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.25%