Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 45.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Bristol City
45.72%	27.38%	26.9%

Both teams to score 46.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.59%

58.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.99%

79.01%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.49%

25.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.63%

60.37%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.44%

37.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.66%

74.34%

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 45.71%

Bristol City 26.9%

Draw 27.37%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 13.08% 2-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 8.75% 3-0 @ 4.07% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.18% Total : 45.71%	1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 9.58% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.37%	0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 6.28% 0-2 @ 4.6% 1-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.7% Total : 26.9%