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ML
Championship | Gameweek 42
Jul 8, 2020 at 3pm UK
The Den
ML

Millwall
0 - 2
Middlesbrough


Cooper (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Assombalonga (68'), Fletcher (86' pen.)
Assombalonga (66'), Saville (70'), Howson (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough
38.25%26.48%35.27%
Both teams to score 52.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7%52.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01%73.99%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36%26.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.12%61.88%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61%28.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.87%64.13%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 38.25%
    Middlesbrough 35.27%
    Draw 26.48%
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 6.62%
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-0 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 38.25%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 9.52%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-2 @ 6%
1-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.27%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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