Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nottingham Forest in this match.
