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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Hull City |
31.1% ( -0.29) | 23.61% ( 0.13) | 45.29% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 61.09% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.39% ( -0.78) | 40.6% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37% ( -0.81) | 62.99% ( 0.8) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.71% ( -0.56) | 25.28% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.94% ( -0.77) | 60.05% ( 0.76) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.77% ( -0.26) | 18.22% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.75% ( -0.43) | 49.24% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Hull City |
| 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.1% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.64% Total : 45.29% |
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