Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Leicester City |
25.33% ( -0.01) | 21.77% ( 0.01) | 52.9% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 63.11% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.03% ( -0.08) | 35.97% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.93% ( -0.09) | 58.07% ( 0.1) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.2% ( -0.06) | 26.8% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.91% ( -0.08) | 62.09% ( 0.08) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.22% ( -0.03) | 13.78% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.9% ( -0.05) | 41.1% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Leicester City |
2-1 @ 6.35% 1-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.2% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 25.33% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.77% | 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.13% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.37% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 52.9% |
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