SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Southampton |
49.17% ( -2.4) | 23.64% ( 1.32) | 27.19% ( 1.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.29% ( -3.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.87% ( -5.27) | 43.13% ( 5.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.47% ( -5.42) | 65.53% ( 5.42) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.32% ( -2.8) | 17.68% ( 2.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.69% ( -5.08) | 48.31% ( 5.09) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% ( -1.97) | 29.2% ( 1.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.86% ( -2.49) | 65.14% ( 2.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 1.23)2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.57)3-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.56)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.51)4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.29)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.41)Other @ 3.76% Total : 49.17% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.97) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.35)0-0 @ 5.16% ( 1.11)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.32)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 1.08)0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.48)1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.29)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.36% Total : 27.19% |
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