SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Blackpool |
44.67% ( 0.58) | 27.48% ( -0.32) | 27.84% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 46.84% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.71% ( 1.01) | 58.28% ( -1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.08% ( 0.78) | 78.91% ( -0.79) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.01% ( 0.76) | 25.98% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39% ( 1.02) | 61% ( -1.02) |
| Blackpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.29% ( 0.34) | 36.71% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.5% ( 0.34) | 73.49% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Blackpool |
| 1-0 @ 12.85% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.67% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.83% Total : 27.84% |
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