McCarthy will naturally hope that an all-North West showdown acts as the catalyst for his side to produce one of the most surprising results in the EFL this season. However, we cannot back against a Blackpool side who will be motivated to move closer to a return to the top flight.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Blackpool win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
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