Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Reading had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.