Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
