With nine points being collected from four games, Preston deserve to be regarded as the marginal favourites for this game. Nevertheless, a clean sheet at Luton should do Reading the world of good, leading us to predict a hard-fought share of the spoils being played out in Berkshire.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Reading had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.
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