SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Stoke City |
39.36% ( 0.03) | 27.7% ( -0.01) | 32.94% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.36% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.61% ( 0.05) | 57.39% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.79% ( 0.04) | 78.21% ( -0.05) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% ( 0.04) | 28.42% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.82% ( 0.05) | 64.18% ( -0.05) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.56% ( 0.02) | 32.44% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.04% ( 0.02) | 68.96% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 39.35% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.94% |
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