SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
38.35% ( 0.26) | 27.08% ( -0.13) | 34.56% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.19% ( 0.49) | 54.81% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.89% ( 0.4) | 76.12% ( -0.4) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% ( 0.38) | 27.77% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.65% ( 0.49) | 63.35% ( -0.49) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.94% ( 0.16) | 30.06% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.81% ( 0.19) | 66.19% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.35% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 34.56% |
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