Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
