Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Barnsley
50.68%	24.86%	24.45%

Both teams to score 51.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.42%

50.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.5%

72.49%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.04%

19.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.88%

52.12%

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.62%

35.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.86%

72.13%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 50.68%

Barnsley 24.45%

Draw 24.85%

Stoke City	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 9.53% 2-0 @ 9.17% 3-1 @ 5.12% 3-0 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.79% Total : 50.68%	1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 7.06% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.85%	0-1 @ 7.34% 1-2 @ 6.14% 0-2 @ 3.81% 1-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 2% Total : 24.45%