Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
