Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a win it was 0-1 (6.33%).
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Derby County |
54.22% | 23.48% | 22.3% |
Both teams to score 53.53% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.04% | 46.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.79% | 69.21% |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.78% | 17.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.48% | 47.52% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.66% | 35.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.91% | 72.09% |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 9.41% 3-1 @ 5.74% 3-0 @ 5.52% 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.79% Total : 54.22% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.47% | 0-1 @ 6.33% 1-2 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.97% Total : 22.3% |
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