Swansea Swansea City
2-3
Derby Derby County

Dhanda (56'), Naughton (58')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Waghorn (8'), Holmes (64'), Lawrence (80')

Preview

Data Analysis

Match Report

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The Match

Preview

Sports Mole provides team news, predicted lineups and a full preview of Saturday's Championship fixture meeting between Swansea City and Derby County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a win it was 0-1 (6.33%).

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Derby County
54.22%	23.48%	22.3%

Both teams to score 53.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.04%

46.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.79%

69.21%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.78%

17.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.48%

47.52%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.66%

35.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.91%

72.09%

Score Analysis

Swansea City 54.22%

Derby County 22.3%

Draw 23.47%

Swansea City	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 9.41% 3-1 @ 5.74% 3-0 @ 5.52% 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.79% Total : 54.22%	1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.47%	0-1 @ 6.33% 1-2 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.97% Total : 22.3%