Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jiangsu Suning win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Tianjin Tianhai had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jiangsu Suning win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Tianjin Tianhai win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jiangsu Suning would win this match.