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Chinese Super League playoffs | Ninth-16th Place Playoff
Oct 21, 2020 at 8.30am UK
Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre
TJ

Shenzhen
1 - 1
TEDA

Mary (28')
Yuan (21'), Shuai (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bastians (75')
Song (36'), Hao (37')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League playoffs Ninth-16th Place Playoff clash between Shenzhen and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Tianjin TEDA had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Tianjin TEDA win was 0-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
ShenzhenDrawTianjin Jinmen Tiger
49.44%24.27%26.29%
Both teams to score 55.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.38%46.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.1%68.89%
Shenzhen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08%18.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.59%50.41%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28%31.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86%68.14%
Score Analysis
    Shenzhen 49.44%
    Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 26.29%
    Draw 24.27%
ShenzhenDrawTianjin Jinmen Tiger
1-0 @ 9.99%
2-1 @ 9.55%
2-0 @ 8.32%
3-1 @ 5.3%
3-0 @ 4.62%
3-2 @ 3.04%
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 49.44%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 6%
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.27%
0-1 @ 6.89%
1-2 @ 6.59%
0-2 @ 3.96%
1-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 26.29%


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