Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jiangsu Suning win with a probability of 64.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jiangsu Suning win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.