Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hebei China Fortune win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Chongqing Dangdai Lifan had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hebei China Fortune win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.