Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Hebei had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Hebei win was 1-0 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.