Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
-0.62) 
0.92) 
