Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 57.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
0.21) 
-0.09) 
