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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2020 at 11am UK
Tianhe Stadium

Evergrande
2 - 1
Jiangsu

Elkeson (24' pen.), Paulinho (84')
Linpeng (6'), Chao (36'), Fang (60'), Park (64')
Linpeng (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Eder (54')
Abdugheni (8'), Tian (12'), Eder (22'), Xiaobin (45+4'), Pengfei (50')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou and Jiangsu Suning.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 50.6%. A win for Jiangsu Suning had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Jiangsu Suning win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Guangzhou Evergrande in this match.

Result
GuangzhouDrawJiangsu Suning
50.6%23.4%26.01%
Both teams to score 58.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.02%42.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.62%65.38%
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92%17.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.73%47.27%
Jiangsu Suning Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99%30.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87%66.14%
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou 50.6%
    Jiangsu Suning 26.01%
    Draw 23.39%
GuangzhouDrawJiangsu Suning
2-1 @ 9.63%
1-0 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 5.68%
3-0 @ 4.72%
3-2 @ 3.42%
4-1 @ 2.51%
4-0 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 50.6%
1-1 @ 10.9%
2-2 @ 5.8%
0-0 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 6.56%
0-1 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 26.01%


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