SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.62%) and 0-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 2-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
18.85% ( 0.1) | 21.15% ( 0.04) | 60% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 55.85% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.73% ( -0.04) | 41.27% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.33% ( -0.04) | 63.66% ( 0.04) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.47% ( 0.08) | 35.52% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.7% ( 0.08) | 72.29% ( -0.09) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.63% ( -0.06) | 13.37% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.73% ( -0.11) | 40.27% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 2-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 18.85% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.15% | 1-2 @ 9.95% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 9.56% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.45% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.45% 1-4 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.25% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 60% |
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