SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 14.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
66.19% ( 0.07) | 18.95% ( 0.02) | 14.85% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.8% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.55% ( -0.33) | 38.45% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.25% ( -0.36) | 60.74% ( 0.35) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.19% ( -0.08) | 10.8% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.15% ( -0.17) | 34.85% ( 0.16) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.44% ( -0.34) | 38.56% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.69% ( -0.33) | 75.31% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 2-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.89% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.42% Total : 66.19% | 1-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.95% | 1-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 14.85% |
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