SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 17.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 0-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Qingdao Youth Island win it was 2-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Youth Island | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
17.01% ( -0.01) | 19.3% ( -0) | 63.69% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.79% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.29% ( 0) | 35.71% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.22% ( 0) | 57.78% ( 0) |
| Qingdao Youth Island Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.8% ( -0.01) | 34.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.11% ( -0.01) | 70.89% ( 0.01) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.34% ( 0.01) | 10.66% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.47% ( 0.01) | 34.53% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Youth Island | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 2-1 @ 4.7% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.91% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.1% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.68% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 17.01% | 1-1 @ 8.76% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.65% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.3% | 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-2 @ 9.14% ( 0)0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0)1-3 @ 7.31% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.82% ( 0)1-4 @ 4.09% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.82% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.2% 1-5 @ 1.83% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.71% ( 0)2-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.91% Total : 63.69% |
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