SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
48.84% ( -0.15) | 23.64% ( 0.01) | 27.51% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.54% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.08% ( 0.06) | 42.92% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.68% ( 0.06) | 65.32% ( -0.06) |
| Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.28% ( -0.03) | 17.72% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.61% ( -0.06) | 48.39% ( 0.06) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( 0.13) | 28.85% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.28% ( 0.17) | 64.72% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.75% Total : 48.84% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 27.51% |
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