Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 64.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 14.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Hebei win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.