Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 53.37%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
