Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
