Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 17.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.65%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
