Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.