Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 64.79%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 15.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.62%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Beijing Guoan win it was 1-0 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
