Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 1-0 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
0.65) 
-0.94) 
