Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 48.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 25.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
0.66) 
-0.06) 
