SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Shandong Taishan | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shenzhen | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Wuhan | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Shenzhen |
30.83% ( 0.25) | 26.2% ( 0.14) | 42.97% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 52.21% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.84% ( -0.48) | 52.16% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.12% ( -0.42) | 73.87% ( 0.41) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.77% ( -0.07) | 31.22% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.43% ( -0.08) | 67.57% ( 0.08) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% ( -0.41) | 24.09% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.62% ( -0.58) | 58.38% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.81% ( 0)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.83% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.72% Total : 42.96% |
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