SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Beijing Guoan | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Shandong Taishan | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Dalian Pro | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Beijing Guoan | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
44.66% ( 0.67) | 26.19% ( -0.65) | 29.15% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.38% ( 1.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.16% ( 2.52) | 52.84% ( -2.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.55% ( 2.11) | 74.45% ( -2.11) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.44% ( 1.44) | 23.56% ( -1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.38% ( 2.04) | 57.62% ( -2.03) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.21% ( 1.32) | 32.79% ( -1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.65% ( 1.44) | 69.35% ( -1.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.65) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.23)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.8% Total : 44.65% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.8)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.28)Other @ 1% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.15% |
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