Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
2.09) 
-2.25) 
