Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Yifang win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Jiangsu Suning had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Yifang win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Jiangsu Suning win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.