Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jiangsu Suning win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Henan Jianye had a probability of 21.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jiangsu Suning win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Henan Jianye win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jiangsu Suning would win this match.