Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Jianye win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Tianjin Tianhai had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Jianye win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Tianjin Tianhai win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.