Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dalian Pro would win this match.