Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
